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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Miami OH

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:195.0
Current RPI:195
Expected SOS:90
Current Record:12-20
Expected Record:12-20
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-2
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:210
Expected OOC SOS:101


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-2037.50%195.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Miami OH.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Xavier (7.0)BEA81-72L0%0.0
11-20Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH70-68W100%0.0
11-21Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH69-75L0%0.0
11-22Northeastern (109.0)CAAH67-61W100%0.0
11-24IPFW (71.0)SumH53-57L0%0.0
11-28UCF (219.0)AmerH64-63W100%0.0
12-5IUPUI (189.0)SumA78-64L0%0.0
12-13Wright St. (146.0)HorzH72-67W100%0.0
12-15Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH64-53W100%0.0
12-18Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA77-64L0%0.0
12-22Dayton (21.0)A10A64-63L0%0.0
1-2South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH67-71L0%0.0
1-6Bowling Green (200.0)MACA73-62L0%0.0
1-9Toledo (182.0)MACH76-84L0%0.0
1-12Kent St. (124.0)MACA76-68L0%0.0
1-16Ball St. (179.0)MACA48-46L0%0.0
1-19Buffalo (90.0)MACH60-77L0%0.0
1-23Akron (34.0)MACA75-46L0%0.0
1-26Central Michigan (156.0)MACH51-68L0%0.0
1-30Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH72-59W100%0.0
2-2Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA94-69L0%0.0
2-6Bowling Green (200.0)MACH55-51W100%0.0
2-9Western Michigan (202.0)MACA44-45W100%0.0
2-13Toledo (182.0)MACA93-48L0%0.0
2-16Ball St. (179.0)MACH56-73L0%0.0
2-20Ohio (81.0)MACA76-64L0%0.0
2-23Akron (34.0)MACH77-64W100%0.0
2-27Kent St. (124.0)MACH74-65W100%0.0
3-1Buffalo (90.0)MACA59-67W100%0.0
3-4Ohio (81.0)MACH65-67L0%0.0
3-7Ball St. (179.0)MACA47-49W100%0.0
3-10Buffalo (90.0)MACN94-81L0%0.0